Racing Santander vs Sporting Gijon Friday 07th August 2026 12:30 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Racing Santander Sporting Gijon

Racing Santander D W D W W W

Sporting Gijon L W W W L L

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Racing Santander	Sporting Gijon	3 - 1	April 1, 2026
Sporting Gijon	Racing Santander	2 - 1	October 12, 2025
Racing Santander	Sporting Gijon	2 - 0	July 26, 2025
Sporting Gijon	Racing Santander	1 - 1	March 8, 2025
Racing Santander	Sporting Gijon	1 - 0	December 4, 2024
Racing Santander	Sporting Gijon	1 - 0	September 14, 2024

Racing Santander Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 18, 26	Away	Real Sociedad	1 - 1	Draw
May 31, 26	Home	Cadiz	4 - 1	Win
May 24, 26	Away	Malaga	1 - 1	Draw
May 16, 26	Home	Valladolid	4 - 1	Win
May 10, 26	Away	Leganes	1 - 2	Win
May 3, 26	Home	Huesca	4 - 2	Win

Sporting Gijon Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 18, 26	Home	Marino de Luanco	1 - 2	Loss
May 30, 26	Away	Granada CF	1 - 2	Win
May 24, 26	Home	Almeria	3 - 1	Win
May 17, 26	Away	Zaragoza	1 - 3	Win
May 9, 26	Away	Malaga	2 - 1	Loss
May 3, 26	Home	AD Ceuta FC	1 - 2	Loss

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 58.84% likelihood that both Racing Santander and Sporting Gijon will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Racing Santander to win

This prediction indicates that Racing Santander has a 62.01% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 21.52 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 57.81% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 59.9% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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