Segunda División
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Match Analysis
Rentistas
Atenas
Rentistas
L
W
W
L
W
W
Atenas
D
W
D
W
D
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
The model predicts a home win for Rentistas with a 39% probability. The model sees the teams as closely matched in overall quality and both are in moderate recent form, but notes that Rentistas has historically dominated this matchup, with games typically seeing few goals. The market odds imply a roughly similar chance of a home win, and the model's view on limited scoring aligns with the trend of recent meetings being low-scoring, as well as with the market's preference for under 1.5 and under 2.5 goals.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Competition | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atenas | Rentistas | 1 - 3 | Segunda División | July 12, 2026 |
| Rentistas | Atenas | 2 - 0 | Segunda División | September 20, 2025 |
| Atenas | Rentistas | 0 - 2 | Segunda División | June 29, 2025 |
| Rentistas | Atenas | 2 - 0 | Segunda División | April 5, 2025 |
| Atenas | Rentistas | 2 - 0 | Segunda División | September 29, 2024 |
| Rentistas | Atenas | 2 - 0 | Segunda División | June 15, 2024 |
Rentistas Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Competition | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 26 | Away | Paysandu | Segunda División | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Oct 3, 26 | Home | Sportivo Huracan | Segunda División | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Sep 26, 26 | Away | Uruguay Montevideo | Segunda División | 1 - 3 | Win |
| Sep 20, 26 | Home | Oriental | Segunda División | 0 - 2 | Loss |
| Sep 13, 26 | Away | Colón | Segunda División | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Sep 6, 26 | Home | Fenix | Segunda División | 2 - 1 | Win |
Atenas Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Competition | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 26 | Home | Miramar | Segunda División | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Oct 3, 26 | Away | Tacuarembo | Segunda División | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Sep 27, 26 | Home | Plaza Colonia | Segunda División | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Sep 19, 26 | Away | La Luz | Segunda División | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Sep 13, 26 | Home | Cerrito | Segunda División | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Sep 6, 26 | Home | CA River Plate | Segunda División | 3 - 2 | Win |
Segunda División Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Atenas | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 36 | 30 | +6 | 45 |
| 6 | Rentistas | 28 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 33 | 30 | +3 | 42 |
View full table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Plaza Colonia | 28 | 12 | 9 | 7 | +12 | 45 |
| 2 | Oriental | 29 | 12 | 9 | 8 | +7 | 45 |
| 3 | Atenas | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | +6 | 45 |
| 4 | Colón | 29 | 12 | 9 | 8 | +5 | 45 |
| 5 | Fenix | 30 | 11 | 11 | 8 | +9 | 44 |
| 6 | Rentistas | 28 | 11 | 9 | 8 | +3 | 42 |
| 7 | Cerrito | 28 | 10 | 11 | 7 | +4 | 41 |
| 8 | La Luz | 29 | 9 | 11 | 9 | -5 | 38 |
| 9 | CA River Plate | 28 | 10 | 7 | 11 | 0 | 37 |
| 10 | Sportivo Huracan | 29 | 9 | 10 | 10 | -6 | 37 |
| 11 | Paysandu | 29 | 10 | 5 | 14 | -3 | 35 |
| 12 | Miramar | 28 | 7 | 10 | 11 | -7 | 31 |
| 13 | Tacuarembo | 29 | 6 | 9 | 14 | -13 | 27 |
| 14 | Uruguay Montevideo | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | -12 | 26 |
Predictions
Rentistas to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Rentistas has a 38.8% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 32.11 %Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 58.94% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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