Riga vs Kairat Almaty Thursday 15th October 2026 07:45 PM football predictions.

UEFA Europa Conference League

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Riga View team ›

Oct. 15, 2026 17 hours from now VS

Kairat Almaty View team ›

Match Analysis

Riga Kairat Almaty

Riga W W W W D D

Kairat Almaty W L L W L W

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Riga Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Oct 10, 26	Away	Tukums	0 - 2	Win
Oct 3, 26	Away	Aris	1 - 2	Win
Sep 19, 26	Away	FS Jelgava	0 - 1	Win
Sep 15, 26	Away	Super Nova	0 - 1	Win
Sep 11, 26	Home	Auda	2 - 2	Draw
Sep 7, 26	Home	BFC Daugavpils	1 - 1	Draw

Kairat Almaty Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Oct 10, 26	Home	Zhetysu	1 - 0	Win
Sep 17, 26	Away	FC Astana	1 - 0	Loss
Sep 13, 26	Home	FK Tobol Kostanay	1 - 4	Loss
Sep 9, 26	Home	Zhenys	3 - 0	Win
Sep 5, 26	Home	Kaspiy	0 - 3	Loss
Aug 31, 26	Away	Yelimay Semey	0 - 2	Win

Predictions

Riga to win

This prediction indicates that Riga has a 64.95% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 19.83 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 61.23% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 56.24% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Odds Comparison

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UEFA Europa Conference League

Match Analysis

Riga Form (Last 6 Matches)

Kairat Almaty Form (Last 6 Matches)

Predictions

Riga to win

Over 1.5 goals

Over 2.5 goals

Most Likely Scorelines

Comments

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