Rilski Sportist vs Marek Wednesday 15th July 2026 03:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Rilski Sportist Marek

Rilski Sportist L

Marek L D D D W L

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Marek	Rilski Sportist	3 - 0	February 10, 2024

Rilski Sportist Form (Last 1 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Feb 10, 24	Away	Marek	3 - 0	Loss

Marek Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 27, 26	Away	Septemvri Sofia	3 - 0	Loss
Jan 31, 26	Away	Slavia Sofia	2 - 2	Draw
Jan 28, 26	Away	Sportist Svoge	3 - 3	Draw
Jan 17, 26	Away	Botev Vratsa	2 - 2	Draw
Jan 14, 26	Away	Septemvri Sofia	1 - 3	Win
May 30, 25	Away	Lokomotiv Plovdiv	3 - 0	Loss

Friendlies Clubs Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
716	Marek	5	1	3	1	10	11	-1	6
1647	Rilski Sportist	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 52.03% likelihood that both Rilski Sportist and Marek will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Marek to win

This prediction indicates that Marek has a 47.25% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 26.22 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 72.97% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 60.24% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Friendlies Clubs