Rochdale vs Swindon Town Saturday 03rd October 2026 05:00 PM football predictions.

League Two

Rochdale

Oct. 3, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Swindon Town

Match Analysis

Rochdale Swindon Town

Rochdale D L W L L L

Swindon Town L L W W L W

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Rochdale	Swindon Town	4 - 4	March 18, 2023
Swindon Town	Rochdale	3 - 0	August 20, 2022
Rochdale	Swindon Town	0 - 0	April 2, 2022
Swindon Town	Rochdale	2 - 2	October 16, 2021
Rochdale	Swindon Town	2 - 1	April 13, 2021
Swindon Town	Rochdale	3 - 1	September 12, 2020

Rochdale Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 12, 26	Away	Walsall	0 - 0	Draw
Sep 5, 26	Home	Gillingham	1 - 4	Loss
Sep 1, 26	Home	Shrewsbury	3 - 0	Win
Aug 29, 26	Away	Colchester	1 - 0	Loss
Aug 22, 26	Home	Crawley Town	1 - 2	Loss
Aug 15, 26	Away	Newport County	3 - 0	Loss

Swindon Town Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 15, 26	Home	Crystal Palace U21	1 - 2	Loss
Sep 12, 26	Away	York	4 - 0	Loss
Sep 5, 26	Home	Colchester	3 - 1	Win
Sep 1, 26	Home	Port Vale	3 - 1	Win
Aug 29, 26	Away	Oldham	3 - 0	Loss
Aug 22, 26	Home	Cheltenham	2 - 1	Win

League Two Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
2	Swindon Town	5	3	1	1	8	6	+2	10
22	Rochdale	5	1	0	4	5	10	-5	3

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.3% likelihood that both Rochdale and Swindon Town will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Rochdale or Swindon Town to win

This prediction indicates that Rochdale has a 37.65% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.29 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 58.73% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 55.47% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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League Two

Match Analysis

Head to Head History

Rochdale Form (Last 6 Matches)

Swindon Town Form (Last 6 Matches)

League Two Table

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

Rochdale or Swindon Town to win

Over 1.5 goals

Over 2.5 goals

Most Likely Scorelines

Comments

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