USL Championship
Match Analysis
Sacramento Republic
Sporting JAX
Sacramento Republic
W
L
W
L
L
W
Sporting JAX
W
L
D
L
L
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Sacramento Republic Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 9, 26 | Home | Rhode Island | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Jun 21, 26 | Home | New Mexico United | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Jun 14, 26 | Away | Colorado Springs | 0 - 1 | Win |
| May 31, 26 | Away | Phoenix Rising | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| May 24, 26 | Away | San Antonio | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| May 3, 26 | Home | Orange County SC | 3 - 2 | Win |
Sporting JAX Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 15, 26 | Home | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 8, 26 | Away | Austin | 4 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 3, 26 | Away | Loudoun United | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Jun 20, 26 | Home | Charleston Battery | 2 - 5 | Loss |
| Jun 13, 26 | Home | Detroit City | 2 - 6 | Loss |
| Jun 11, 26 | Away | Monterey Bay | 2 - 1 | Loss |
USL Championship Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Sacramento Republic | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 13 | +2 | 19 |
| 25 | Sporting JAX | 16 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 21 | 42 | -21 | 7 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.11% likelihood that both Sacramento Republic and Sporting JAX will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Sacramento Republic to win
This prediction indicates that Sacramento Republic has a 65.0% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 18.54 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 58.02% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 58.11% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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