J3 League
Match Analysis
Sagamihara
Parceiro Nagano
Sagamihara
W
D
W
D
L
D
Parceiro Nagano
W
L
W
L
D
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sagamihara | Parceiro Nagano | 2 - 1 | September 6, 2025 |
| Parceiro Nagano | Sagamihara | 1 - 1 | May 3, 2025 |
| Sagamihara | Parceiro Nagano | 1 - 1 | August 31, 2024 |
| Parceiro Nagano | Sagamihara | 1 - 1 | March 9, 2024 |
| Parceiro Nagano | Sagamihara | 1 - 0 | July 29, 2023 |
| Sagamihara | Parceiro Nagano | 0 - 1 | April 15, 2023 |
Sagamihara Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 26 | Away | Thespakusatsu Gunma | 1 - 4 | Win |
| Aug 8, 26 | Home | Roasso Kumamoto | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jun 6, 26 | Home | Roasso Kumamoto | 3 - 0 | Win |
| May 30, 26 | Home | Fujieda MYFC | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| May 23, 26 | Away | Thespakusatsu Gunma | 7 - 2 | Loss |
| May 16, 26 | Home | Vanraure Hachinohe | 1 - 1 | Draw |
Parceiro Nagano Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 26 | Home | Fukui United | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 16, 26 | Away | Osaka | 4 - 2 | Loss |
| Aug 8, 26 | Home | Renofa Yamaguchi | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 12, 26 | Home | Iwaki | 1 - 3 | Loss |
| Jun 5, 26 | Away | Kamatamare Sanuki | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| May 31, 26 | Away | Tochigi SC | 0 - 0 | Draw |
J3 League Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Sagamihara | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | +3 | 4 |
| 6 | Parceiro Nagano | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 56.69% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Sagamihara to win
This prediction indicates that Sagamihara has a 53.7% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.33 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.52% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.99% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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