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Primera Nacional

Aug. 29, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

San Martin Tucuman Club Atlético Güemes
San Martin Tucuman D L L D W W
Club Atlético Güemes L L L L L L
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Club Atlético Güemes San Martin Tucuman 0 - 2 April 12, 2026
Club Atlético Güemes San Martin Tucuman 2 - 1 July 6, 2025
San Martin Tucuman Club Atlético Güemes 1 - 1 March 2, 2025
San Martin Tucuman Club Atlético Güemes 2 - 2 October 27, 2024
Club Atlético Güemes San Martin Tucuman 0 - 0 June 9, 2024
San Martin Tucuman Club Atlético Güemes 1 - 1 September 23, 2023

San Martin Tucuman Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 9, 26 Home San Martin S.J. 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 1, 26 Away Nueva Chicago 2 - 1 Loss
Jul 25, 26 Home Temperley 1 - 2 Loss
Jul 17, 26 Away Deportivo Maipu 0 - 0 Draw
Jul 12, 26 Home Almagro 3 - 0 Win
Jul 5, 26 Away Patronato 0 - 1 Win

Club Atlético Güemes Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 8, 26 Away Agropecuario 3 - 0 Loss
Aug 3, 26 Home Tristan Suarez 1 - 3 Loss
Jul 26, 26 Away Gimnasia Jujuy 2 - 1 Loss
Jul 12, 26 Home San Martin S.J. 0 - 2 Loss
Jul 4, 26 Away Nueva Chicago 2 - 0 Loss
Jun 21, 26 Home Gimnasia Jujuy 1 - 3 Loss

Primera Nacional Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
18 San Martin Tucuman 24 7 10 7 22 20 +2 31
36 Club Atlético Güemes 23 5 4 14 20 42 -22 19

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 61.57% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
San Martin Tucuman to win
This prediction indicates that San Martin Tucuman has a 56.56% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.85 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 58.54% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 64.79% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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