Sarmiento Junin vs River Plate Thursday 15th October 2026 01:00 AM football predictions.

Liga Profesional Argentina

View league ›

Sarmiento Junin View team ›

Oct. 15, 2026 46 minutes ago VS

River Plate View team ›

Match Analysis

Sarmiento Junin River Plate

Sarmiento Junin W L D W L W

River Plate W L W W W D

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

Historically, River Plate has had the upper hand in matches between these two sides, often keeping games tight with few goals. The model predicts an away win with a 49% probability, reflecting River Plate's clear quality advantage and stronger recent form. Although Sarmiento Junin are in moderate form, River Plate's recent attacking strength and higher chance creation suggest they are likely to come out on top. The model also sees a less than even chance of both teams scoring, aligning with past meetings where goals were hard to come by.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
River Plate	Sarmiento Junin	2 - 0	March 15, 2026
River Plate	Sarmiento Junin	0 - 1	October 12, 2025
Sarmiento Junin	River Plate	1 - 1	April 5, 2025
River Plate	Sarmiento Junin	1 - 0	July 28, 2024
Sarmiento Junin	River Plate	0 - 2	March 20, 2023
River Plate	Sarmiento Junin	1 - 2	July 31, 2022

Sarmiento Junin Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Oct 9, 26	Away	Aldosivi	1 - 3	Win
Sep 19, 26	Away	Racing Club	3 - 1	Loss
Sep 13, 26	Home	Belgrano Cordoba	1 - 1	Draw
Sep 4, 26	Away	Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto	0 - 2	Win
Aug 28, 26	Away	Union Santa Fe	4 - 1	Loss
Aug 23, 26	Home	Estudiantes L.P.	2 - 0	Win

River Plate Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Oct 11, 26	Home	Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto	1 - 0	Win
Sep 19, 26	Home	Huracan	1 - 2	Loss
Sep 12, 26	Away	Atletico Tucuman	1 - 2	Win
Sep 6, 26	Home	Independ. Rivadavia	3 - 1	Win
Aug 30, 26	Away	Banfield	2 - 3	Win
Aug 27, 26	Home	Santa Fe	1 - 1	Draw

Liga Profesional Argentina Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
5	River Plate	31	16	4	11	42	28	+14	52
16	Sarmiento Junin	27	12	2	13	33	37	-4	38

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No

This prediction suggests that there is a 54.94% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

River Plate to win

This prediction indicates that River Plate has a 57.99% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 24.89 %

Under 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 60.14% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

Subscribe to unlock scoreline predictions View plans

Odds Comparison

Subscribe to compare bookmaker odds View plans

Comments

[[ comment.user.username ]]

This comment has been removed