SC Kriens vs Étoile Carouge Friday 18th September 2026 08:30 PM football predictions.

Challenge League

Sept. 18, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

SC Kriens Étoile Carouge

SC Kriens D W W L W L

Étoile Carouge L W D L D W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 1, 26	Away	Rapperswil	1 - 1	Draw
Aug 28, 26	Home	Stade Nyonnais	3 - 0	Win
Aug 22, 26	Away	FC WIL 1900	0 - 2	Win
Aug 7, 26	Home	Yverdon Sport	0 - 2	Loss
Jul 31, 26	Home	FC Winterthur	2 - 0	Win
Jul 24, 26	Away	Neuchatel Xamax FC	3 - 2	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 1, 26	Away	Stade Lausanne-Ouchy	3 - 0	Loss
Aug 28, 26	Home	Rapperswil	2 - 1	Win
Aug 21, 26	Away	Stade Nyonnais	0 - 0	Draw
Aug 7, 26	Home	Neuchatel Xamax FC	0 - 1	Loss
Jul 31, 26	Away	Yverdon Sport	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 24, 26	Home	FC Aarau	3 - 0	Win

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
2	SC Kriens	5	3	0	2	9	5	+4	9
6	Étoile Carouge	5	2	2	1	6	3	+3	8

This prediction indicates that SC Kriens has a 39.13% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.23 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 52.59% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 52.64% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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