Shakhtar Donetsk vs AEK Athens FC Wednesday 14th October 2026 10:00 PM football predictions. - Dukamneti Sports
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Shakhtar Donetsk logo Shakhtar Donetsk View team ›
Oct. 14, 2026 20 hours from now VS
AEK Athens FC logo AEK Athens FC View team ›

Match Analysis

Shakhtar Donetsk AEK Athens FC
Shakhtar Donetsk W W W W D W
AEK Athens FC W W W D W W
STRENGTH
SHOT CONVERSION
SHOTS ON TARGET
POSSESSION
SAVE RATE
ATTACKING POTENTIAL
DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

The model predicts an away win for AEK Athens FC with a 43% probability. AEK Athens FC is seen as the stronger team overall and they are in better recent form compared to Shakhtar Donetsk. While Shakhtar Donetsk have also been attacking well recently, the model sees AEK Athens FC's quality gap as a key factor favoring their chances in this match. The model’s confidence level is notable but not overwhelming, reflecting the competitive nature suggested by the even shot volume between the sides.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
AEK Athens FC Shakhtar Donetsk 5 - 0 July 13, 2023

Shakhtar Donetsk Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Oct 9, 26 Away Veres Rivne 0 - 3 Win
Oct 2, 26 Home Kryvbas KR 3 - 0 Win
Sep 20, 26 Home LNZ Cherkasy 3 - 0 Win
Sep 14, 26 Home Chornomorets 2 - 0 Win
Sep 10, 26 Away PSV Eindhoven 1 - 1 Draw
Sep 5, 26 Away Karpaty 1 - 2 Win

AEK Athens FC Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Oct 10, 26 Home OFI 3 - 0 Win
Sep 20, 26 Away Volos NFC 1 - 2 Win
Sep 17, 26 Home Panserraikos 8 - 1 Win
Sep 13, 26 Away Asteras Tripolis 1 - 1 Draw
Sep 8, 26 Home Lask Linz 1 - 0 Win
Sep 5, 26 Home Aris Thessalonikis 5 - 0 Win

Predictions

Shakhtar Donetsk or AEK Athens FC to win
This prediction indicates that AEK Athens FC has a 39.64% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 26.51 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.45% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.48% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Odds Comparison
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