AS Roma vs Real Madrid Wednesday 14th October 2026 10:00 PM football predictions. - Dukamneti Sports
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AS Roma logo AS Roma View team ›
Oct. 14, 2026 20 hours from now VS
Real Madrid logo Real Madrid View team ›

Match Analysis

AS Roma Real Madrid
AS Roma D D W D W W
Real Madrid W L W W W L
STRENGTH
SHOT CONVERSION
SHOTS ON TARGET
POSSESSION
SAVE RATE
ATTACKING POTENTIAL
DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

Both AS Roma and Real Madrid are in strong form coming into the match, but Real Madrid is seen as the better side overall. Historically, when these teams meet, games tend to be tight and low-scoring, though both have been attacking well lately. The model predicts a 39% chance of a Real Madrid away win, suggesting they are favored but not overwhelmingly so. The model also expects goals, with a 55% chance that both teams will score and a slight edge toward more than two goals being scored overall.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
AS Roma Real Madrid 0 - 2 November 27, 2018
Real Madrid AS Roma 3 - 0 September 19, 2018
Real Madrid AS Roma 2 - 0 March 8, 2016
AS Roma Real Madrid 0 - 2 February 17, 2016

AS Roma Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Oct 11, 26 Away como 0 - 0 Draw
Sep 19, 26 Home Inter 2 - 2 Draw
Sep 14, 26 Away Torino 0 - 2 Win
Sep 10, 26 Away Fenerbahce 1 - 1 Draw
Sep 5, 26 Home Atalanta 2 - 1 Win
Aug 31, 26 Away Lecce 0 - 4 Win

Real Madrid Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Oct 10, 26 Home Villarreal 1 - 0 Win
Sep 20, 26 Away Atletico Madrid 2 - 1 Loss
Sep 15, 26 Away Elche 2 - 3 Win
Sep 12, 26 Home Rayo Vallecano 4 - 1 Win
Sep 8, 26 Home Inter 2 - 1 Win
Sep 4, 26 Away Real Betis 1 - 0 Loss

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.78% likelihood that both AS Roma and Real Madrid will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
AS Roma or Real Madrid to win
This prediction indicates that AS Roma has a 37.91% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.02 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.15% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.48% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Odds Comparison
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