Aston Villa vs Fenerbahce Wednesday 14th October 2026 10:00 PM football predictions. - Dukamneti Sports
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Aston Villa logo Aston Villa View team ›
Oct. 14, 2026 20 hours from now VS
Fenerbahce logo Fenerbahce View team ›

Match Analysis

Aston Villa Fenerbahce
Aston Villa D W W W L W
Fenerbahce W W W D D L
STRENGTH
SHOT CONVERSION
SHOTS ON TARGET
POSSESSION
SAVE RATE
ATTACKING POTENTIAL
DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

The model predicts a home win for Aston Villa with a 42% probability. Despite Aston Villa's poor recent form, the model sees the two teams as closely matched in overall quality, which contributes to this prediction. Fenerbahce have strong recent form and have shown strong attacking play, but the model also notes that shot volume between the sides has been fairly even. The model’s confidence level is modest, reflecting the tight contest.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Fenerbahce Aston Villa 0 - 1 January 22, 2026

Aston Villa Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Oct 10, 26 Home Brentford 2 - 2 Draw
Oct 2, 26 Away Sevilla 1 - 3 Win
Sep 19, 26 Away Tottenham 2 - 3 Win
Sep 16, 26 Away Coventry 1 - 3 Win
Sep 12, 26 Home Nottingham Forest 1 - 2 Loss
Sep 8, 26 Away Club Brugge KV 2 - 3 Win

Fenerbahce Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Oct 10, 26 Away Rizespor 0 - 3 Win
Oct 3, 26 Away Turan 0 - 2 Win
Sep 20, 26 Home Eyüpspor 8 - 0 Win
Sep 14, 26 Away Gazişehir Gaziantep 0 - 0 Draw
Sep 10, 26 Home AS Roma 1 - 1 Draw
Sep 5, 26 Home Besiktas 1 - 2 Loss

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.01% likelihood that both Aston Villa and Fenerbahce will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
Aston Villa or Fenerbahce to win
This prediction indicates that Aston Villa has a 42.76% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 23.48 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 58.88% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.57% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Odds Comparison
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