Southend vs Barrow Saturday 26th September 2026 05:00 PM football predictions.

National League

Sept. 26, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Southend Barrow

Southend W D L W W W

Barrow W D L D L L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Barrow	Southend	1 - 2	May 1, 2021
Southend	Barrow	1 - 0	January 9, 2021

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 5, 26	Home	Yeovil Town	3 - 2	Win
Aug 31, 26	Away	Woking	1 - 1	Draw
Aug 28, 26	Home	Kidderminster Harriers	1 - 3	Loss
Aug 22, 26	Away	Solihull Moors	1 - 3	Win
Aug 15, 26	Home	Scunthorpe	1 - 0	Win
Aug 8, 26	Away	Altrincham	1 - 3	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 5, 26	Home	Sutton Utd	3 - 0	Win
Aug 31, 26	Away	Kidderminster Harriers	1 - 1	Draw
Aug 28, 26	Home	Yeovil Town	1 - 2	Loss
Aug 22, 26	Away	Harrogate Town	2 - 2	Draw
Aug 15, 26	Home	AFC Hornchurch	1 - 2	Loss
Aug 8, 26	Away	Hartlepool	2 - 0	Loss

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
3	Southend	6	4	1	1	12	8	+4	13
18	Barrow	6	1	2	3	8	9	-1	5

This prediction suggests that there is a 50.47% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Southend has a 65.16% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 19.97 %

Subscribe to unlock scoreline predictions View plans

[[ comment.user.username ]]

This comment has been removed

[[ comment.user.username ]]

[[ comment.comment ]]

[[comment.humanizedSubmitDate]] [[comment.starsCount]] [[comment.starsCount]] [[comment.repliesCount]] Reply Reply