Sportfreunde Siegen vs Fernwald Saturday 04th July 2026 03:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Sportfreunde Siegen Fernwald

Sportfreunde Siegen W D L L L W

Fernwald D D W D L W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Fernwald	Sportfreunde Siegen	1 - 3	August 29, 2020

Sportfreunde Siegen Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 27, 26	Home	Cosmos Koblenz	6 - 0	Win
Feb 7, 26	Home	TSV Steinbach	1 - 1	Draw
Jan 17, 26	Away	SV Sandhausen	6 - 3	Loss
Jan 11, 26	Home	FC Viktoria Köln	0 - 3	Loss
Jan 8, 26	Home	Carl Zeiss Jena	1 - 2	Loss
Nov 14, 25	Away	SV Wehen	0 - 2	Win

Fernwald Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 14, 25	Home	Waldgirmes	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 9, 25	Away	Eisbachtal	1 - 1	Draw
Jan 31, 24	Home	FC Waldbrunn	6 - 3	Win
Jul 22, 23	Home	Eisbachtal	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 8, 23	Home	TSV Steinbach	0 - 6	Loss
Feb 11, 23	Away	Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn.	1 - 2	Win

Friendlies Clubs Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
878	Sportfreunde Siegen	5	1	1	3	11	12	-1	4
1647	Fernwald	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 58.58% likelihood that both Sportfreunde Siegen and Fernwald will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Fernwald to win

This prediction indicates that Fernwald has a 53.46% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 24.93 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 68.45% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 64.64% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Friendlies Clubs