Stafford Rangers vs Shrewsbury Tuesday 14th July 2026 09:45 PM football predictions.

Stafford Rangers Shrewsbury

Stafford Rangers L L L W L L

Shrewsbury L D D W L W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 2, 25	Home	Lutterworth Town	0 - 1	Loss
Jul 22, 25	Home	Rushall Olympic	0 - 1	Loss
Aug 31, 24	Away	Kettering Town	2 - 1	Loss
Aug 17, 24	Away	Hanley Town	0 - 1	Win
Aug 3, 24	Home	Buxton	0 - 2	Loss
Jul 16, 24	Home	Crewe	1 - 4	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 2, 26	Away	Gillingham	1 - 0	Loss
Apr 25, 26	Home	Fleetwood Town	2 - 2	Draw
Apr 18, 26	Away	Crawley Town	0 - 0	Draw
Apr 11, 26	Home	Oldham	1 - 0	Win
Apr 7, 26	Away	Bromley	2 - 1	Loss
Apr 3, 26	Home	Tranmere	1 - 0	Win

This prediction suggests that there is a 51.72% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Stafford Rangers has a 40.19% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.91 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 52.86% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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