Stevenage vs Wigan Saturday 10th October 2026 05:00 PM football predictions. - Dukamneti Sports
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Stevenage logo Stevenage View team ›
Oct. 10, 2026 4 days, 10 hours ago
1 – 0
Full Time
Wigan logo Wigan View team ›

Match Analysis

Stevenage Wigan
Stevenage L L L W W D
Wigan L L D L W L
STRENGTH
SHOT CONVERSION
SHOTS ON TARGET
POSSESSION
SAVE RATE
ATTACKING POTENTIAL
DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

Stevenage holds a modest quality edge over Wigan, and their recent form is much stronger than Wigan's. The model predicts a home win with a 49% probability, which is slightly more confident than what the market odds imply. Additionally, recent meetings between these teams have tended to be low-scoring, aligning with the model's view that both teams are unlikely to score and that the game will likely stay under 1.5 goals.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Stevenage Wigan 1 - 0 May 2, 2026
Wigan Stevenage 0 - 0 November 29, 2025
Stevenage Wigan 1 - 2 January 18, 2025
Wigan Stevenage 0 - 0 September 24, 2024
Wigan Stevenage 2 - 3 January 27, 2024
Stevenage Wigan 1 - 0 October 7, 2023

Stevenage Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Oct 6, 26 Away Leicester 2 - 1 Loss
Sep 22, 26 Home Walsall 1 - 6 Loss
Sep 19, 26 Away Leyton Orient 1 - 0 Loss
Sep 10, 26 Home Luton 2 - 1 Win
Sep 5, 26 Away Barnsley 1 - 5 Win
Sep 1, 26 Away Peterborough 0 - 0 Draw

Wigan Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Sep 22, 26 Away Blackpool 3 - 2 Loss
Sep 19, 26 Home Wycombe 0 - 1 Loss
Sep 12, 26 Away Sheffield Wednesday 0 - 0 Draw
Sep 5, 26 Home Stockport County 0 - 4 Loss
Sep 2, 26 Home Milton Keynes Dons 3 - 1 Win
Aug 30, 26 Away AFC Wimbledon 1 - 0 Loss

League One Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
13 Stevenage 7 2 3 2 11 8 +3 9
24 Wigan 7 1 1 5 5 12 -7 4

Predictions

Correct Prediction! ✅

Stevenage to win
This prediction indicates that Stevenage has a 48.77% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.92 %

Correct Prediction! ✅

Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.05% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Odds Comparison
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