Stockport County vs Barnsley Saturday 10th October 2026 05:00 PM football predictions.

League One

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Stockport County View team ›

Oct. 10, 2026 4 days, 10 hours ago

3 – 1

Full Time

Barnsley View team ›

Match Analysis

Stockport County Barnsley

Stockport County W W D L W L

Barnsley W L D D L L

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

The model predicts a home win for Stockport County with a 65% probability, which is notably higher than what the market odds suggest. The model sees Stockport as clearly stronger, pointing to their significant quality gap and strong recent form, compared to Barnsley's poor form. Additionally, the model expects both teams to score and for the match to have more than 1.5 and 2.5 goals, with probabilities of 63%, 70%, and 70% respectively, aligning with the market’s inclination towards a higher-scoring game.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Barnsley	Stockport County	1 - 3	May 2, 2026
Stockport County	Barnsley	1 - 1	November 29, 2025
Stockport County	Barnsley	2 - 1	February 8, 2025
Barnsley	Stockport County	1 - 1	September 28, 2024

Stockport County Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Oct 6, 26	Away	Shrewsbury	0 - 2	Win
Sep 26, 26	Home	Peterborough	1 - 0	Win
Sep 19, 26	Away	Sheffield Wednesday	0 - 0	Draw
Sep 12, 26	Home	Leicester	3 - 4	Loss
Sep 5, 26	Away	Wigan	0 - 4	Win
Sep 2, 26	Away	Luton	2 - 0	Loss

Barnsley Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Oct 6, 26	Home	Fleetwood Town	4 - 1	Win
Sep 22, 26	Home	Leeds United U21	3 - 4	Loss
Sep 19, 26	Home	Leicester	1 - 1	Draw
Sep 15, 26	Away	Peterborough	3 - 3	Draw
Sep 12, 26	Away	Plymouth	3 - 0	Loss
Sep 5, 26	Home	Stevenage	1 - 5	Loss

League One Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
5	Stockport County	8	4	1	3	17	10	+7	13
18	Barnsley	7	2	2	3	7	12	-5	8

Predictions

Correct Prediction! ✅

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 62.87% likelihood that both Stockport County and Barnsley will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Stockport County to win

This prediction indicates that Stockport County has a 65.2% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 20.71 %

Correct Prediction! ✅

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 70.12% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 69.93% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Odds Comparison

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Mansfield Town vs Oxford United 18 hours from now · 10 p.m. ›

Match Analysis

Why this prediction? AI insight

Head to Head History

Stockport County Form (Last 6 Matches)

Barnsley Form (Last 6 Matches)

League One Table

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

Stockport County to win

Over 1.5 goals

Over 2.5 goals

Most Likely Scorelines

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