Stranraer vs Spartans Saturday 15th August 2026 05:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Stranraer Spartans

Stranraer L L D L D W

Spartans W L L L D L

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Spartans	Stranraer	1 - 2	April 11, 2026
Stranraer	Spartans	2 - 1	February 21, 2026
Spartans	Stranraer	0 - 4	November 22, 2025
Stranraer	Spartans	0 - 2	September 13, 2025
Spartans	Stranraer	2 - 1	April 5, 2025
Stranraer	Spartans	2 - 0	February 1, 2025

Stranraer Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 25, 26	Away	Falkirk	3 - 0	Loss
Jul 21, 26	Home	Edinburgh City	0 - 2	Loss
Jul 18, 26	Away	Alloa Athletic	2 - 2	Draw
Jul 11, 26	Home	Ayr Utd	2 - 3	Loss
Jul 4, 26	Away	Morton	0 - 0	Draw
Jun 27, 26	Home	Dundela	4 - 0	Win

Spartans Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 25, 26	Away	Montrose	0 - 2	Win
Jul 21, 26	Away	Dundee Utd	4 - 0	Loss
Jul 14, 26	Home	Stirling Albion	1 - 3	Loss
Jul 11, 26	Home	Arbroath	1 - 2	Loss
May 9, 26	Home	Clyde	1 - 1	Draw
May 5, 26	Away	Clyde	2 - 0	Loss

League Two Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
None	Spartans	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None
None	Stranraer	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None

Predictions

Stranraer or Spartans to win

This prediction indicates that Spartans has a 38.81% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 26.60 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 50.01% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Under 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 53.54% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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