Segunda División
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Match Analysis
Tacuarembo
La Luz
Tacuarembo
L
L
D
D
D
L
La Luz
D
W
W
L
W
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
The model predicts an away win for La Luz with a 37% probability. The model sees La Luz as having stronger recent form compared to Tacuarembo, which is struggling. However, the model also notes that the two teams are closely matched in overall quality and that their recent meetings have often ended in draws, indicating some uncertainty. The market odds imply a higher chance of an away win than the model's prediction, suggesting the model is less confident than what the current betting odds reflect.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Competition | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| La Luz | Tacuarembo | 2 - 0 | Segunda División | July 13, 2026 |
| Tacuarembo | La Luz | 1 - 1 | Segunda División | March 17, 2026 |
| Tacuarembo | La Luz | 1 - 1 | Segunda División | August 30, 2025 |
| La Luz | Tacuarembo | 1 - 2 | Segunda División | June 7, 2025 |
| Tacuarembo | La Luz | 1 - 1 | Segunda División | March 30, 2025 |
| La Luz | Tacuarembo | 2 - 0 | Segunda División | September 29, 2024 |
Tacuarembo Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Competition | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 26 | Away | Cerrito | Segunda División | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Oct 3, 26 | Home | Atenas | Segunda División | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Sep 28, 26 | Away | Paysandu | Segunda División | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Sep 20, 26 | Home | Sportivo Huracan | Segunda División | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Sep 12, 26 | Away | Uruguay Montevideo | Segunda División | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Sep 6, 26 | Home | Oriental | Segunda División | 0 - 1 | Loss |
La Luz Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Competition | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 26 | Home | Plaza Colonia | Segunda División | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Oct 4, 26 | Home | CA River Plate | Segunda División | 3 - 2 | Win |
| Sep 27, 26 | Away | Cerrito | Segunda División | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Sep 19, 26 | Home | Atenas | Segunda División | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Sep 12, 26 | Away | Paysandu | Segunda División | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Sep 4, 26 | Home | Sportivo Huracan | Segunda División | 1 - 3 | Loss |
Segunda División Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | La Luz | 28 | 8 | 11 | 9 | 25 | 31 | -6 | 35 |
| 13 | Tacuarembo | 28 | 6 | 9 | 13 | 22 | 34 | -12 | 27 |
View full table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Plaza Colonia | 28 | 12 | 9 | 7 | +12 | 45 |
| 2 | Oriental | 29 | 12 | 9 | 8 | +7 | 45 |
| 3 | Atenas | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | +6 | 45 |
| 4 | Colón | 29 | 12 | 9 | 8 | +5 | 45 |
| 5 | Fenix | 30 | 11 | 11 | 8 | +9 | 44 |
| 6 | Rentistas | 28 | 11 | 9 | 8 | +3 | 42 |
| 7 | Cerrito | 28 | 10 | 11 | 7 | +4 | 41 |
| 8 | La Luz | 29 | 9 | 11 | 9 | -5 | 38 |
| 9 | CA River Plate | 28 | 10 | 7 | 11 | 0 | 37 |
| 10 | Sportivo Huracan | 29 | 9 | 10 | 10 | -6 | 37 |
| 11 | Paysandu | 29 | 10 | 5 | 14 | -3 | 35 |
| 12 | Miramar | 28 | 7 | 10 | 11 | -7 | 31 |
| 13 | Tacuarembo | 29 | 6 | 9 | 14 | -13 | 27 |
| 14 | Uruguay Montevideo | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | -12 | 26 |
Predictions
Correct Prediction! ✅
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 55.52% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Correct Prediction! ✅
La Luz to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that La Luz has a 36.79% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 35.13 %Correct Prediction! ✅
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 61.22% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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