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J2 League
Tochigi City logo Tochigi City
Aug. 29, 2026 2 weeks from now VS
Jubilo Iwata logo Jubilo Iwata

Match Analysis

Tochigi City Jubilo Iwata
Tochigi City L L W D L W
Jubilo Iwata D D D W L L
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Tochigi City Jubilo Iwata 2 - 2 May 30, 2026

Tochigi City Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 9, 26 Away Montedio Yamagata 2 - 0 Loss
Jul 15, 26 Away Cerezo Osaka 1 - 0 Loss
Jun 6, 26 Home Biwako Shiga 3 - 1 Win
May 30, 26 Home Jubilo Iwata 2 - 2 Draw
May 24, 26 Away Blaublitz Akita 1 - 0 Loss
May 16, 26 Home Montedio Yamagata 3 - 0 Win

Jubilo Iwata Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 8, 26 Home Blaublitz Akita 1 - 1 Draw
Jun 6, 26 Home Osaka 1 - 1 Draw
May 30, 26 Away Tochigi City 2 - 2 Draw
May 23, 26 Away Consadole Sapporo 0 - 1 Win
May 16, 26 Home Fujieda MYFC 0 - 3 Loss
May 10, 26 Away Fukushima United 4 - 2 Loss

J2 League Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
26 Jubilo Iwata 21 5 9 7 20 27 -7 24
28 Tochigi City 20 6 5 9 25 36 -11 23

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.0% likelihood that both Tochigi City and Jubilo Iwata will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
Tochigi City to win
This prediction indicates that Tochigi City has a 41.87% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 26.85 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.07% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.67% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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