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J3 League
Tochigi SC logo Tochigi SC
Sept. 5, 2026 2 weeks from now VS
Kochi United logo Kochi United

Match Analysis

Tochigi SC Kochi United
Tochigi SC W D W D D D
Kochi United L L D L D L
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Kochi United Tochigi SC 0 - 1 September 14, 2025
Tochigi SC Kochi United 1 - 0 February 16, 2025

Tochigi SC Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 19, 26 Home Urayasu 2 - 0 Win
Aug 15, 26 Away Roasso Kumamoto 0 - 0 Draw
Aug 9, 26 Home Kanazawa 3 - 2 Win
Jun 7, 26 Home Kitakyushu 1 - 1 Draw
May 31, 26 Home Parceiro Nagano 0 - 0 Draw
May 24, 26 Away Vanraure Hachinohe 0 - 0 Draw

Kochi United Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 19, 26 Away Verspah Oita 3 - 0 Loss
Aug 15, 26 Away FC Gifu 7 - 0 Loss
Aug 8, 26 Home Matsumoto Yamaga 0 - 0 Draw
Jun 6, 26 Away Omiya Ardija 2 - 1 Loss
May 30, 26 Home Renofa Yamaguchi 2 - 2 Draw
May 24, 26 Away Kanazawa 2 - 0 Loss

J3 League Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
3 Tochigi SC 2 1 1 0 3 2 +1 4
15 Kochi United 2 0 1 1 0 7 -7 1

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 54.89% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Tochigi SC to win
This prediction indicates that Tochigi SC has a 60.61% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 21.40 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.84% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.06% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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