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Tokushima Vortis logo Tokushima Vortis
Aug. 29, 2026 2 weeks from now VS
Oita Trinita logo Oita Trinita

Match Analysis

Tokushima Vortis Oita Trinita
Tokushima Vortis L W W D D L
Oita Trinita L W D D L L
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Tokushima Vortis Oita Trinita 2 - 0 June 21, 2025
Oita Trinita Tokushima Vortis 1 - 1 April 13, 2025
Tokushima Vortis Oita Trinita 3 - 1 September 14, 2024
Oita Trinita Tokushima Vortis 1 - 2 June 1, 2024
Oita Trinita Tokushima Vortis 3 - 3 September 16, 2023
Tokushima Vortis Oita Trinita 1 - 2 February 19, 2023

Tokushima Vortis Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 8, 26 Away Consadole Sapporo 2 - 0 Loss
Jun 7, 26 Home Iwaki 2 - 0 Win
May 30, 26 Home Sagan Tosu 3 - 1 Win
May 24, 26 Home Imabari 1 - 1 Draw
May 17, 26 Away Kataller Toyama 2 - 2 Draw
May 10, 26 Home Nara Club 1 - 2 Loss

Oita Trinita Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 8, 26 Home Shonan Bellmare 0 - 1 Loss
Jun 7, 26 Home Montedio Yamagata 1 - 0 Win
May 30, 26 Away Nara Club 3 - 3 Draw
May 24, 26 Away Gainare Tottori 0 - 0 Draw
May 17, 26 Home Tegevajaro Miyazaki 1 - 2 Loss
May 10, 26 Home Sagan Tosu 0 - 1 Loss

J2 League Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
5 Tokushima Vortis 21 11 3 7 41 25 +16 36
24 Oita Trinita 21 7 4 10 22 22 0 25

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 55.13% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Tokushima Vortis to win
This prediction indicates that Tokushima Vortis has a 58.23% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 24.35 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.08% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.74% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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