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National League - South

Sept. 12, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

Torquay Dorking Wanderers
Torquay L D W D W W
Dorking Wanderers L W D L L W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Torquay Dorking Wanderers 4 - 2 May 2, 2026
Torquay Dorking Wanderers 2 - 2 March 24, 2026
Dorking Wanderers Torquay 3 - 1 October 25, 2025
Dorking Wanderers Torquay 0 - 1 March 15, 2025
Torquay Dorking Wanderers 1 - 0 August 24, 2024
Dorking Wanderers Torquay 3 - 2 February 21, 2023

Torquay Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 22, 26 Away Dagenham & Redbridge 2 - 0 Loss
Aug 18, 26 Home Weston-super-Mare 0 - 0 Draw
Aug 15, 26 Away Tonbridge Angels 1 - 2 Win
Aug 8, 26 Home Horsham 1 - 1 Draw
Jul 31, 26 Home Exeter City 2 - 1 Win
Jul 25, 26 Home Cardiff City U21 5 - 0 Win

Dorking Wanderers Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 22, 26 Home Maidstone Utd 2 - 3 Loss
Aug 18, 26 Away AFC Totton 0 - 3 Win
Aug 15, 26 Away Maidenhead 0 - 0 Draw
Aug 8, 26 Home Dagenham & Redbridge 0 - 1 Loss
Jul 28, 26 Away Dulwich Hamlet 1 - 0 Loss
Jul 25, 26 Away Lewes 1 - 2 Win

National League - South Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
7 Torquay 3 1 2 0 3 2 +1 5
11 Dorking Wanderers 3 1 1 1 3 1 +2 4

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.32% likelihood that both Torquay and Dorking Wanderers will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
Torquay to win
This prediction indicates that Torquay has a 47.87% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.87 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.78% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.94% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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