TPV vs KuPS Akatemia Saturday 18th July 2026 04:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

TPV KuPS Akatemia

TPV L D D L L D

KuPS Akatemia D L W L L L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
KuPS Akatemia	TPV	3 - 0	April 24, 2026

TPV Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 29, 26	Away	VJS	2 - 1	Loss
Jun 14, 26	Away	PKKU	2 - 2	Draw
Jun 6, 26	Home	Inter Turku II	1 - 1	Draw
May 29, 26	Home	Tampere United	0 - 3	Loss
May 23, 26	Away	SalPa	4 - 2	Loss
May 16, 26	Home	OLS	2 - 2	Draw

KuPS Akatemia Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 28, 26	Away	OLS	2 - 2	Draw
Jun 12, 26	Away	SalPa	4 - 3	Loss
Jun 5, 26	Home	KPV-j	4 - 1	Win
May 29, 26	Away	PKKU	3 - 0	Loss
May 24, 26	Home	Rops	0 - 1	Loss
May 17, 26	Away	Inter Turku II	4 - 2	Loss

Ykkönen Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
10	KuPS Akatemia	12	2	2	8	18	27	-9	8
11	TPV	12	1	4	7	12	23	-11	7

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 60.75% likelihood that both TPV and KuPS Akatemia will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

KuPS Akatemia to win

This prediction indicates that KuPS Akatemia has a 41.48% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.69 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 64.48% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 62.06% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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