Trefelin vs Penybont Friday 11th September 2026 09:45 PM football predictions.

Premier League

Sept. 11, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Trefelin Penybont

Trefelin L L L L L L

Penybont W W W D L L

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 21, 26	Home	Caernarfon Town	0 - 2	Loss
Aug 14, 26	Away	GAP Connah S Quay FC	6 - 0	Loss
Aug 7, 26	Home	Llandudno	0 - 4	Loss
Jul 31, 26	Away	Colwyn Bay	2 - 0	Loss
Jul 25, 26	Away	Bromsgrove Sporting	8 - 0	Loss
Jul 3, 26	Away	Carmarthen Town	4 - 2	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 21, 26	Home	Llandudno	2 - 1	Win
Aug 14, 26	Away	Haverfordwest County AFC	0 - 3	Win
Aug 7, 26	Away	Caernarfon Town	1 - 2	Win
Aug 2, 26	Home	The New Saints	0 - 0	Draw
Jul 16, 26	Away	FC Santa Coloma	3 - 0	Loss
Jul 9, 26	Home	FC Santa Coloma	0 - 1	Loss

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
3	Penybont	4	3	1	0	7	2	+5	10
16	Trefelin	4	0	0	4	0	14	-14	0

This prediction suggests that there is a 58.02% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Penybont has a 68.15% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 16.49 %

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