Uruguay Montevideo vs Colón Saturday 10th October 2026 07:00 PM football predictions.

Segunda División

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Uruguay Montevideo View team ›

Oct. 10, 2026 1 week, 1 day ago

1 – 3

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Colón View team ›

Match Analysis

Uruguay Montevideo Colón

Uruguay Montevideo L L L D L D

Colón D L D L W W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

The match features a clear quality gap favoring Colón, who are seen as the stronger side. However, both teams are currently in poor recent form, and past encounters between them have usually been low-scoring. The model predicts a 47% chance of an away win for Colón, which is notably more confident than the market odds suggest. Additionally, the model leans towards an under 1.5 goals outcome, aligning with the recent trend of hard-fought, low-scoring games between these sides.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Competition	Date
Colón	Uruguay Montevideo	1 - 0	Segunda División	July 5, 2026
Uruguay Montevideo	Colón	0 - 1	Segunda División	September 27, 2025
Colón	Uruguay Montevideo	5 - 1	Segunda División	July 5, 2025
Uruguay Montevideo	Colón	0 - 1	Segunda División	November 10, 2024
Colón	Uruguay Montevideo	0 - 0	Segunda División	July 22, 2024

Uruguay Montevideo Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Competition	Score	Result
Oct 4, 26	Away	Fenix	Segunda División	2 - 0	Loss
Sep 26, 26	Home	Rentistas	Segunda División	1 - 3	Loss
Sep 19, 26	Away	Miramar	Segunda División	1 - 0	Loss
Sep 12, 26	Home	Tacuarembo	Segunda División	2 - 2	Draw
Sep 7, 26	Away	Plaza Colonia	Segunda División	1 - 0	Loss
Aug 29, 26	Home	La Luz	Segunda División	0 - 0	Draw

Colón Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Competition	Score	Result
Oct 4, 26	Home	Oriental	Segunda División	0 - 0	Draw
Sep 26, 26	Away	CA River Plate	Segunda División	3 - 0	Loss
Sep 19, 26	Away	Fenix	Segunda División	1 - 1	Draw
Sep 13, 26	Home	Rentistas	Segunda División	0 - 1	Loss
Sep 5, 26	Away	Miramar	Segunda División	0 - 1	Win
Aug 29, 26	Home	Tacuarembo	Segunda División	1 - 0	Win

Segunda División Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
6	Colón	27	10	9	8	28	28	0	39
14	Uruguay Montevideo	27	6	8	13	26	36	-10	26

View full table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Plaza Colonia	28	12	9	7	+12	45
2	Oriental	29	12	9	8	+7	45
3	Atenas	28	13	6	9	+6	45
4	Colón	29	12	9	8	+5	45
5	Fenix	30	11	11	8	+9	44
6	Rentistas	28	11	9	8	+3	42
7	Cerrito	28	10	11	7	+4	41
8	La Luz	29	9	11	9	-5	38
9	CA River Plate	28	10	7	11	0	37
10	Sportivo Huracan	29	9	10	10	-6	37
11	Paysandu	29	10	5	14	-3	35
12	Miramar	28	7	10	11	-7	31
13	Tacuarembo	29	6	9	14	-13	27
14	Uruguay Montevideo	28	6	8	14	-12	26

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No

This prediction suggests that there is a 56.38% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Colón to win

This prediction indicates that Colón has a 47.44% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.54 %

Under 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 60.2% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Odds Comparison

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Segunda División

Oriental vs Uruguay Montevideo an hour from now · 2 a.m. ›

Match Analysis

Why this prediction? AI insight

Head to Head History

Uruguay Montevideo Form (Last 6 Matches)

Colón Form (Last 6 Matches)

Segunda División Table

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No

Colón to win

Under 2.5 goals

Most Likely Scorelines

Comments

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