Serie B logo

Serie B
Vila Nova logo Vila Nova
Aug. 29, 2026 2 weeks from now VS
Ceara logo Ceara

Match Analysis

Vila Nova Ceara
Vila Nova L L W L L W
Ceara W W L D D L
STRENGTH
SHOT CONVERSION
SHOTS ON TARGET
POSSESSION
SAVE RATE
ATTACKING POTENTIAL
DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Ceara Vila Nova 3 - 3 April 26, 2026
Ceara Vila Nova 4 - 0 September 22, 2024
Vila Nova Ceara 3 - 2 June 10, 2024
Vila Nova Ceara 3 - 1 November 18, 2023
Ceara Vila Nova 1 - 0 July 20, 2023
Ceara Vila Nova 2 - 0 October 3, 2017

Vila Nova Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 8, 26 Home Sport Recife 0 - 1 Loss
Jul 27, 26 Away CRB 2 - 0 Loss
Jul 22, 26 Home Fortaleza EC 2 - 1 Win
Jul 18, 26 Away Criciuma 2 - 0 Loss
Jul 10, 26 Away Juventude 1 - 0 Loss
Jul 6, 26 Home São Bernardo 2 - 1 Win

Ceara Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 7, 26 Home Ponte Preta 2 - 0 Win
Jul 26, 26 Away São Bernardo 3 - 4 Win
Jul 22, 26 Home CRB 0 - 1 Loss
Jul 17, 26 Away America Mineiro 1 - 1 Draw
Jul 13, 26 Home Athletic Club 0 - 0 Draw
Jul 4, 26 Away Goias 2 - 0 Loss

Serie B Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
5 Vila Nova 21 10 4 7 27 25 +2 34
16 Ceara 21 6 7 8 22 25 -3 25

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 52.68% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Vila Nova to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Vila Nova has a 39.06% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 33.46 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.36% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 64.59% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Serie B

Ponte Preta vs Nautico Recife 3 hours ago · 1:30 a.m. › Ceara vs Cuiaba 17 hours from now · 10 p.m. › Criciuma vs Goias 17 hours from now · 10 p.m. › São Bernardo vs Botafogo SP 3 hours ago · 1:30 a.m. › Atletico Goianiense vs Vila Nova 17 hours from now · 10 p.m. ›