Virtus Entella vs Novara Wednesday 05th August 2026 06:00 PM football predictions.

Virtus Entella Novara

Virtus Entella W L W D D L

Novara W L L L L W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Virtus Entella	Novara	3 - 0	August 26, 2023
Novara	Virtus Entella	1 - 2	April 1, 2019
Virtus Entella	Novara	1 - 1	December 2, 2018
Novara	Virtus Entella	0 - 1	May 18, 2018
Virtus Entella	Novara	2 - 1	December 28, 2017
Novara	Virtus Entella	2 - 0	May 13, 2017

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 8, 26	Home	Carrarese	2 - 1	Win
May 1, 26	Away	Bari	2 - 0	Loss
Apr 25, 26	Home	Padova	1 - 0	Win
Apr 19, 26	Away	Empoli	1 - 1	Draw
Apr 11, 26	Home	Venezia	1 - 1	Draw
Apr 6, 26	Away	Mantova	1 - 0	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Apr 25, 26	Away	Ospitaletto	0 - 2	Win
Apr 19, 26	Home	Cittadella	0 - 1	Loss
Apr 11, 26	Away	Vicenza Virtus	3 - 1	Loss
Apr 3, 26	Home	Lumezzane	1 - 3	Loss
Mar 28, 26	Away	Renate	3 - 1	Loss
Mar 22, 26	Home	Alcione	3 - 0	Win

This prediction suggests that there is a 52.59% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Virtus Entella has a 51.41% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 29.33 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 52.41% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 59.82% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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