Waterford vs Galway United Monday 19th October 2026 09:45 PM football predictions. - Dukamneti Sports
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Match Analysis

Waterford Galway United
Waterford L L D D W D
Galway United W D L W L D
STRENGTH
SHOT CONVERSION
SHOTS ON TARGET
POSSESSION
SAVE RATE
ATTACKING POTENTIAL
DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

Historically, matches between Waterford and Galway United have often ended in draws, showing that the teams are closely matched. However, the model predicts a home win for Waterford with a 47% probability, factoring in Waterford's moderate recent form, Galway United's poor recent form, and a rest advantage for the home side—even though this confidence is slightly lower than what the market odds imply. The model also suggests a 58% chance that both teams will score and a 60% chance that there will be more than 2.5 goals, both of which align with the general outlook from the market odds.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Competition Date
Galway United Waterford 0 - 0 Premier Division July 25, 2026
Waterford Galway United 1 - 1 Premier Division April 24, 2026
Galway United Waterford 4 - 3 Premier Division March 16, 2026
Waterford Galway United 1 - 1 Premier Division November 1, 2025
Galway United Waterford 2 - 4 Premier Division July 25, 2025
Waterford Galway United 1 - 0 Premier Division May 9, 2025

Waterford Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Competition Score Result
Oct 16, 26 Away Bohemians Premier Division 2 - 1 Loss
Sep 18, 26 Away Shamrock Rovers Premier Division 3 - 2 Loss
Sep 14, 26 Home Derry City Premier Division 2 - 2 Draw
Sep 11, 26 Home Dundalk Premier Division 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 28, 26 Away St Patrick's Athl. Premier Division 0 - 2 Win
Aug 21, 26 Away Sligo Rovers Premier Division 0 - 0 Draw

Galway United Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Competition Score Result
Oct 16, 26 Home Shamrock Rovers Premier Division 2 - 0 Win
Sep 25, 26 Home Shelbourne Premier Division 1 - 1 Draw
Sep 18, 26 Away Derry City Premier Division 1 - 0 Loss
Sep 14, 26 Away Sligo Rovers Premier Division 1 - 3 Win
Sep 11, 26 Home Bohemians Premier Division 2 - 3 Loss
Aug 28, 26 Home Shelbourne Premier Division 1 - 1 Draw

Premier Division Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
6 Galway United 33 10 11 12 44 48 -4 41
9 Waterford 33 7 13 13 45 56 -11 34
View full table
Pos Team MP W D L GD Pts
1 Shamrock Rovers 34 19 8 7 +19 65
2 Bohemians 34 18 8 8 +19 62
3 St Patrick's Athl. 33 17 8 8 +26 59
4 Shelbourne 34 11 13 10 +2 46
5 Dundalk 34 10 12 12 -5 42
6 Derry City 33 9 14 10 +1 41
7 Galway United 33 10 11 12 -4 41
8 Drogheda United 34 9 10 15 -13 37
9 Waterford 33 7 13 13 -11 34
10 Sligo Rovers 34 5 9 20 -34 24

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 59.36% likelihood that both Waterford and Galway United will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
Waterford to win
This prediction indicates that Waterford has a 47.42% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 24.64 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 59.93% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 59.73% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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