Derry City vs St Patrick's Athl. Monday 19th October 2026 09:45 PM football predictions.

Premier Division

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Derry City View team ›

Oct. 19, 2026 20 hours from now VS

St Patrick's Athl. View team ›

Match Analysis

Derry City St Patrick's Athl.

Derry City L W D W D L

St Patrick's Athl. L W W W L W

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

The model predicts an away win for St Patrick's Athl. with a 41% probability. St Patrick's Athl. are seen as the stronger side, and they come in with better recent form compared to Derry City. However, the market odds suggest a slightly stronger belief in an away win, indicating more confidence than the model. The model also sees a good chance (55%) that both teams will score, aligning with the market view that this outcome is likely.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Competition	Date
St Patrick's Athl.	Derry City	1 - 1	Premier Division	August 2, 2026
Derry City	St Patrick's Athl.	0 - 0	Premier Division	May 22, 2026
St Patrick's Athl.	Derry City	0 - 0	Premier Division	March 16, 2026
Derry City	St Patrick's Athl.	2 - 2	Premier Division	August 29, 2025
St Patrick's Athl.	Derry City	0 - 1	Premier Division	June 23, 2025
Derry City	St Patrick's Athl.	1 - 0	Premier Division	May 5, 2025

Derry City Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Competition	Score	Result
Oct 16, 26	Away	Drogheda United	Premier Division	2 - 0	Loss
Sep 18, 26	Home	Galway United	Premier Division	1 - 0	Win
Sep 14, 26	Away	Waterford	Premier Division	2 - 2	Draw
Sep 11, 26	Away	Shelbourne	Premier Division	0 - 1	Win
Aug 30, 26	Home	Shamrock Rovers	Premier Division	3 - 3	Draw
Aug 21, 26	Away	Bohemians	Premier Division	5 - 3	Loss

St Patrick's Athl. Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Competition	Score	Result
Oct 16, 26	Home	Shelbourne	Premier Division	1 - 2	Loss
Sep 19, 26	Away	Sligo Rovers	Premier Division	0 - 1	Win
Sep 14, 26	Away	Dundalk	Premier Division	0 - 4	Win
Sep 11, 26	Home	Shamrock Rovers	Premier Division	2 - 0	Win
Aug 28, 26	Home	Waterford	Premier Division	0 - 2	Loss
Aug 21, 26	Away	Drogheda United	Premier Division	0 - 2	Win

Premier Division Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
3	St Patrick's Athl.	33	17	8	8	53	27	+26	59
5	Derry City	33	9	14	10	45	44	+1	41

View full table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Shamrock Rovers	34	19	8	7	+19	65
2	Bohemians	34	18	8	8	+19	62
3	St Patrick's Athl.	33	17	8	8	+26	59
4	Shelbourne	34	11	13	10	+2	46
5	Dundalk	34	10	12	12	-5	42
6	Derry City	33	9	14	10	+1	41
7	Galway United	33	10	11	12	-4	41
8	Drogheda United	34	9	10	15	-13	37
9	Waterford	33	7	13	13	-11	34
10	Sligo Rovers	34	5	9	20	-34	24

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.05% likelihood that both Derry City and St Patrick's Athl. will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

St Patrick's Athl. to win

This prediction indicates that St Patrick's Athl. has a 46.92% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.23 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 50.52% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 50.08% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Odds Comparison

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Premier Division

Waterford vs Galway United 20 hours from now · 9:45 p.m. ›

Match Analysis

Why this prediction? AI insight

Head to Head History

Derry City Form (Last 6 Matches)

St Patrick's Athl. Form (Last 6 Matches)

Premier Division Table

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

St Patrick's Athl. to win

Over 1.5 goals

Over 2.5 goals

Most Likely Scorelines

Comments

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