York vs Gillingham Saturday 26th September 2026 05:00 PM football predictions.

League Two

York

Sept. 26, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Gillingham

Match Analysis

York Gillingham

York D L W D W L

Gillingham W D D D L L

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
York	Gillingham	0 - 0	February 12, 2013
Gillingham	York	1 - 1	January 26, 2013

York Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 5, 26	Away	Crewe	1 - 1	Draw
Sep 1, 26	Away	Cheltenham	3 - 2	Loss
Aug 29, 26	Home	Exeter City	2 - 1	Win
Aug 22, 26	Away	Rotherham	1 - 1	Draw
Aug 15, 26	Home	Bristol Rovers	3 - 2	Win
Aug 3, 26	Home	Crawley Town	0 - 2	Loss

Gillingham Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 5, 26	Away	Rochdale	1 - 4	Win
Sep 1, 26	Away	Chesterfield	1 - 1	Draw
Aug 29, 26	Home	Northampton	1 - 1	Draw
Aug 22, 26	Away	Fleetwood Town	0 - 0	Draw
Aug 15, 26	Home	Walsall	0 - 3	Loss
Aug 8, 26	Home	Luton	0 - 3	Loss

League Two Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
6	York	4	2	1	1	8	7	+1	7
21	Gillingham	4	0	3	1	2	5	-3	3

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No

This prediction suggests that there is a 51.74% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

York to win

This prediction indicates that York has a 70.52% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 16.44 %

Most Likely Scorelines

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League Two

Match Analysis

Head to Head History

York Form (Last 6 Matches)

Gillingham Form (Last 6 Matches)

League Two Table

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No

York to win

Most Likely Scorelines

Comments

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