AC Oulu vs HJK helsinki Monday 12th October 2026 07:00 PM football predictions.

Veikkausliiga

View league ›

AC Oulu View team ›

Oct. 12, 2026 1 day, 12 hours ago

3 – 4

Full Time

HJK helsinki View team ›

Match Analysis

AC Oulu HJK helsinki

AC Oulu W L L L D W

HJK helsinki W D D W W L

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

The model predicts an away win for HJK Helsinki with a 55% probability, reflecting the clear quality gap and strong recent form favoring HJK, while AC Oulu is in poor recent form. The market odds also lean toward an away win, though they imply slightly less confidence than the model's prediction. The model also sees a good chance for over 1.5 goals (54%) and both teams to score (53%), aligning with the recent trend of HJK dominating meetings but with goals being hard to come by, suggesting a closely contested match with likely scoring. The market odds for over 1.5 goals are very similar to the model's view.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
AC Oulu	HJK helsinki	0 - 1	August 9, 2026
HJK helsinki	AC Oulu	0 - 1	April 11, 2026
HJK helsinki	AC Oulu	3 - 1	July 20, 2025
AC Oulu	HJK helsinki	0 - 4	June 14, 2025
HJK helsinki	AC Oulu	3 - 0	July 27, 2024
AC Oulu	HJK helsinki	1 - 0	May 31, 2024

AC Oulu Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Oct 8, 26	Away	KuPS	0 - 1	Win
Sep 18, 26	Home	Inter Turku	0 - 1	Loss
Sep 12, 26	Home	Gnistan	1 - 2	Loss
Sep 8, 26	Away	VPS	1 - 0	Loss
Aug 31, 26	Home	SJK	0 - 0	Draw
Aug 22, 26	Away	FF Jaro	0 - 1	Win

HJK helsinki Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Oct 8, 26	Home	VPS	6 - 0	Win
Sep 18, 26	Away	Gnistan	1 - 1	Draw
Sep 13, 26	Away	KuPS	0 - 0	Draw
Sep 9, 26	Home	Inter Turku	2 - 1	Win
Aug 31, 26	Away	Ilves	1 - 2	Win
Aug 23, 26	Home	Gnistan	2 - 3	Loss

Veikkausliiga Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
3	HJK helsinki	26	13	6	7	45	29	+16	45
5	AC Oulu	26	11	4	11	27	29	-2	37

Predictions

Correct Prediction! ✅

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 53.35% likelihood that both AC Oulu and HJK helsinki will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

HJK helsinki to win

This prediction indicates that HJK helsinki has a 55.13% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 23.60 %

Correct Prediction! ✅

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.11% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 53.94% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

Subscribe to unlock scoreline predictions View plans

Top Picks

Subscribe to unlock top picks View plans

Odds Comparison

Subscribe to compare bookmaker odds View plans

Comments

[[ comment.user.username ]]

This comment has been removed

[[ comment.user.username ]]

[[ comment.comment ]]

[[comment.humanizedSubmitDate]] [[comment.starsCount]] [[comment.starsCount]] [[comment.repliesCount]] Reply Reply

Match Analysis

Why this prediction? AI insight

Head to Head History

AC Oulu Form (Last 6 Matches)

HJK helsinki Form (Last 6 Matches)

Veikkausliiga Table

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

HJK helsinki to win

Over 2.5 goals

Over 1.5 goals

Most Likely Scorelines

Comments

Trending

Latest transfers

From the blog