Adhyaksa vs Persebaya Surabaya Friday 09th October 2026 03:00 PM football predictions.

Liga 1

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Adhyaksa View team ›

Oct. 9, 2026 4 days, 16 hours ago

0 – 1

Full Time

Persebaya Surabaya View team ›

Match Analysis

Adhyaksa Persebaya Surabaya

Adhyaksa L W L

Persebaya Surabaya D W D D W W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

Adhyaksa have struggled recently, particularly defensively, while Persebaya Surabaya have been in moderate form and possess a clear quality advantage. The model predicts an away win with a 47% probability, reflecting Persebaya Surabaya's edge despite the uncertainty of exact odds being unavailable. Additionally, the model sees a 52% chance that both teams will score and a 54% chance that there will be more than 1.5 goals, suggesting an open, potentially high-scoring match based on recent trends for both sides.

Adhyaksa Form (Last 3 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 19, 26	Away	Bhayangkara FC	2 - 0	Loss
Sep 12, 26	Home	Bali United	4 - 1	Win
Sep 4, 26	Away	Arema FC	4 - 0	Loss

Persebaya Surabaya Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 19, 26	Home	Garudayaksa	1 - 1	Draw
Sep 13, 26	Home	PSIM Yogyakarta	1 - 0	Win
Sep 5, 26	Away	Bhayangkara FC	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 19, 26	Home	PSIS Semarang	2 - 2	Draw
May 23, 26	Home	Persik Kediri	5 - 0	Win
May 15, 26	Away	Semen Padang	0 - 7	Win

Liga 1 Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
9	Persebaya Surabaya	3	1	2	0	3	2	+1	5
11	Adhyaksa	3	1	0	2	4	7	-3	3

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 52.03% likelihood that both Adhyaksa and Persebaya Surabaya will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Persebaya Surabaya to win

This prediction indicates that Persebaya Surabaya has a 46.75% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.59 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.31% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 50.64% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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