AEK Athens FC vs Panserraikos Wednesday 09th September 2026 06:00 PM football predictions. - Dukamneti Sports
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Sept. 17, 2026 3 weeks, 5 days ago
8 – 1
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Match Analysis

AEK Athens FC Panserraikos
AEK Athens FC D W W W D W
Panserraikos W L L W L D
STRENGTH
SHOT CONVERSION
SHOTS ON TARGET
POSSESSION
SAVE RATE
ATTACKING POTENTIAL
DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

Historically, AEK Athens FC has dominated meetings with Panserraikos, often coming out on top. The model predicts a home win with a 70% probability, reflecting a clear quality gap favoring AEK Athens FC, along with their strong recent form and attacking momentum, compared to Panserraikos' moderate form and defensive struggles. This confidence level is notably higher than what the market odds imply, which suggest a much more likely home victory. Additionally, the model sees a good chance for more than one goal (58% over) and more than two goals (54% over), although these views are slightly more optimistic than the market odds suggest.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Panserraikos AEK Athens FC 0 - 4 February 8, 2026
AEK Athens FC Panserraikos 2 - 0 August 24, 2025
AEK Athens FC Panserraikos 5 - 0 February 9, 2025
Panserraikos AEK Athens FC 1 - 0 October 26, 2024
Panserraikos AEK Athens FC 2 - 2 December 21, 2023
AEK Athens FC Panserraikos 1 - 1 August 26, 2023

AEK Athens FC Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Sep 13, 26 Away Asteras Tripolis 1 - 1 Draw
Sep 8, 26 Home Lask Linz 1 - 0 Win
Sep 5, 26 Home Aris Thessalonikis 5 - 0 Win
Sep 2, 26 Away Nestos Chrisoupolis 0 - 2 Win
Aug 30, 26 Away Kifisia 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 26, 26 Home Levski Sofia 4 - 0 Win

Panserraikos Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Sep 13, 26 Home Asteras Tripolis II 1 - 0 Win
Sep 7, 26 Away Marko 1 - 0 Loss
Sep 2, 26 Home Atromitos 0 - 1 Loss
Aug 19, 26 Home Panthrakikos 2 - 1 Win
May 21, 26 Away Atromitos 6 - 0 Loss
May 17, 26 Home Panetolikos 1 - 1 Draw

Predictions

Correct Prediction! ✅

AEK Athens FC to win
This prediction indicates that AEK Athens FC has a 70.17% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 17.42 %

Correct Prediction! ✅

Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 58.19% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.68% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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