AFC Fylde vs Scunthorpe Saturday 10th October 2026 05:00 PM football predictions.

National League

View league ›

AFC Fylde View team ›

Oct. 10, 2026 3 days, 14 hours ago

2 – 0

Full Time

Scunthorpe View team ›

Match Analysis

AFC Fylde Scunthorpe

AFC Fylde L L W L W W

Scunthorpe L W L L W L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

The model predicts an AFC Fylde home win with a 53% probability, suggesting they are favored but not overwhelmingly so. It also indicates a strong belief that both teams will score and that more than one goal will be scored in the match, with probabilities of 65% and 69% respectively. The market odds for a home win and for over 1.5 goals are relatively low, implying that bookmakers see these outcomes as likely, but the model shows slightly more confidence in these outcomes than the market suggests. The prediction is influenced by AFC Fylde’s modest quality edge and their strong recent attacking form, despite Scunthorpe having a rest advantage and both teams showing moderate recent form.

AFC Fylde Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Oct 3, 26	Away	Southend	3 - 1	Loss
Sep 29, 26	Home	Carlisle	0 - 2	Loss
Sep 26, 26	Away	Boston United	0 - 1	Win
Sep 19, 26	Home	Altrincham	1 - 2	Loss
Sep 15, 26	Away	Harrogate Town	1 - 2	Win
Sep 12, 26	Away	Yeovil Town	1 - 4	Win

Scunthorpe Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 29, 26	Away	Barrow	3 - 0	Loss
Sep 26, 26	Home	Hartlepool	4 - 1	Win
Sep 19, 26	Away	AFC Hornchurch	1 - 0	Loss
Sep 16, 26	Home	Boreham Wood	1 - 2	Loss
Sep 12, 26	Away	Sutton Utd	0 - 2	Win
Sep 5, 26	Home	Harrogate Town	0 - 2	Loss

National League Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
7	AFC Fylde	12	6	2	4	22	18	+4	20
21	Scunthorpe	11	3	1	7	15	19	-4	10

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 65.22% likelihood that both AFC Fylde and Scunthorpe will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

AFC Fylde to win

This prediction indicates that AFC Fylde has a 52.84% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 23.76 %

Correct Prediction! ✅

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 69.19% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 72.39% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

Subscribe to unlock scoreline predictions View plans

Top Picks

Subscribe to unlock top picks View plans

Odds Comparison

Subscribe to compare bookmaker odds View plans

Comments

[[ comment.user.username ]]

This comment has been removed