AFC Hornchurch vs Eastleigh Saturday 10th October 2026 05:00 PM football predictions.

National League

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AFC Hornchurch View team ›

Oct. 10, 2026 3 days, 14 hours ago

2 – 0

Full Time

Eastleigh View team ›

New signing: Alfie Massey joined on loan AFC Hornchurch from Millwall on 24 Sep. All transfers

Match Analysis

AFC Hornchurch Eastleigh

AFC Hornchurch L W L W L L

Eastleigh L D L W L D

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

The match features a clear quality gap favoring AFC Hornchurch, which suggests they are the stronger side going into this fixture. The model predicts a home win with a 45% probability, which aligns moderately with the market odds that also lean toward a home advantage. Additionally, the model sees a 55% chance that both teams will score and that the game will feature more than 1.5 and 2.5 goals, views that are notably more confident than the market odds suggest for these outcomes.

AFC Hornchurch Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Oct 3, 26	Away	Harrogate Town	3 - 0	Loss
Sep 29, 26	Home	Aldershot Town	2 - 1	Win
Sep 26, 26	Away	Altrincham	3 - 0	Loss
Sep 19, 26	Home	Scunthorpe	1 - 0	Win
Sep 15, 26	Away	Worthing	1 - 0	Loss
Sep 12, 26	Away	FC Halifax Town	3 - 0	Loss

Eastleigh Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Oct 3, 26	Home	Woking	1 - 3	Loss
Sep 30, 26	Home	Southend	1 - 1	Draw
Sep 26, 26	Away	Harrogate Town	4 - 1	Loss
Sep 19, 26	Home	Carlisle	1 - 0	Win
Sep 15, 26	Away	Sutton Utd	2 - 1	Loss
Sep 12, 26	Home	Boreham Wood	1 - 1	Draw

National League Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
12	AFC Hornchurch	12	6	0	6	13	19	-6	18
17	Eastleigh	12	4	3	5	14	18	-4	15

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.56% likelihood that both AFC Hornchurch and Eastleigh will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

AFC Hornchurch to win

This prediction indicates that AFC Hornchurch has a 44.62% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.42 %

Correct Prediction! ✅

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.79% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 55.33% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Odds Comparison

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