Aktobe vs Atyrau Sunday 09th August 2026 04:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Aktobe Atyrau

Aktobe W W L W L W

Atyrau L L L L D D

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Atyrau	Aktobe	1 - 1	May 17, 2026
Aktobe	Atyrau	2 - 0	July 5, 2025
Atyrau	Aktobe	0 - 4	March 30, 2025
Atyrau	Aktobe	1 - 1	August 11, 2024
Aktobe	Atyrau	1 - 1	April 7, 2024
Atyrau	Aktobe	0 - 0	August 27, 2023

Aktobe Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 25, 26	Home	Okzhetpes	2 - 1	Win
Jul 19, 26	Away	Altay	2 - 4	Win
Jul 12, 26	Away	FC Astana	3 - 2	Loss
Jul 5, 26	Home	Zhetysu	2 - 1	Win
Jun 27, 26	Away	Zhetysu	1 - 0	Loss
Jun 21, 26	Home	FC Astana	2 - 0	Win

Atyrau Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 18, 26	Home	Kairat Almaty	1 - 3	Loss
Jul 5, 26	Home	Kaspiy	1 - 2	Loss
Jun 27, 26	Away	Kaspiy	2 - 0	Loss
Jun 21, 26	Home	Yelimay Semey	1 - 2	Loss
Jun 13, 26	Away	Kairat Almaty	1 - 1	Draw
May 28, 26	Home	FK Tobol Kostanay	1 - 1	Draw

Premier League Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
6	Aktobe	18	8	4	6	26	20	+6	28
15	Atyrau	17	2	9	6	12	17	-5	15

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No

This prediction suggests that there is a 54.0% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

Aktobe to win

This prediction indicates that Aktobe has a 60.35% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 21.57 %

Under 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 50.74% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

Under 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 51.95% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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