Kairat Almaty vs Ordabasy Saturday 25th July 2026 05:00 PM football predictions.

Kairat Almaty Ordabasy

Kairat Almaty W L L W W D

Ordabasy L W W W W W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Ordabasy	Kairat Almaty	2 - 1	May 28, 2026
Ordabasy	Kairat Almaty	0 - 1	June 29, 2025
Kairat Almaty	Ordabasy	4 - 0	March 8, 2025
Kairat Almaty	Ordabasy	2 - 1	November 2, 2024
Ordabasy	Kairat Almaty	1 - 2	March 31, 2024
Ordabasy	Kairat Almaty	1 - 0	August 20, 2023

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 8, 26	Home	Sutjeska	2 - 1	Win
Jul 2, 26	Away	Okzhetpes	5 - 0	Loss
Jun 27, 26	Home	Okzhetpes	1 - 3	Loss
Jun 21, 26	Away	Kyzyl-Zhar	2 - 4	Win
Jun 17, 26	Home	Kyzyl-Zhar	3 - 0	Win
Jun 13, 26	Home	Atyrau	1 - 1	Draw

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 11, 26	Away	Kaspiy	3 - 2	Loss
Jul 5, 26	Home	Ulytau	1 - 0	Win
Jun 28, 26	Away	Ulytau	0 - 1	Win
Jun 20, 26	Home	Kaspiy	2 - 0	Win
Jun 14, 26	Away	Yelimay Semey	1 - 3	Win
May 28, 26	Home	Kairat Almaty	2 - 1	Win

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Ordabasy	16	12	4	0	28	9	+19	40
3	Kairat Almaty	18	8	6	4	25	21	+4	30

This prediction indicates that Kairat Almaty has a 39.67% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 32.18 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 56.67% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 57.85% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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