Yelimay Semey vs Kaisar Sunday 26th July 2026 04:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Yelimay Semey Kaisar

Yelimay Semey D W W W L W

Kaisar D W D W L D

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Kaisar	Yelimay Semey	2 - 3	May 28, 2026
Kaisar	Yelimay Semey	1 - 2	June 29, 2025
Yelimay Semey	Kaisar	2 - 0	March 9, 2025
Kaisar	Yelimay Semey	2 - 1	July 13, 2024
Yelimay Semey	Kaisar	1 - 0	April 6, 2024

Yelimay Semey Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 9, 26	Away	Alashkert	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 4, 26	Away	Kyzyl-Zhar	0 - 1	Win
Jun 27, 26	Home	Kyzyl-Zhar	2 - 0	Win
Jun 21, 26	Away	Atyrau	1 - 2	Win
Jun 14, 26	Home	Ordabasy	1 - 3	Loss
May 28, 26	Away	Kaisar	2 - 3	Win

Kaisar Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 5, 26	Home	Irtysh	0 - 0	Draw
Jun 28, 26	Away	Irtysh	1 - 2	Win
Jun 20, 26	Home	Ulytau	0 - 0	Draw
Jun 14, 26	Away	Kaspiy	1 - 2	Win
May 28, 26	Home	Yelimay Semey	2 - 3	Loss
May 23, 26	Away	Kairat Almaty	0 - 0	Draw

Premier League Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
4	Yelimay Semey	16	8	5	3	25	18	+7	29
9	Kaisar	17	3	9	5	13	19	-6	18

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No

This prediction suggests that there is a 50.55% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

Yelimay Semey to win

This prediction indicates that Yelimay Semey has a 55.78% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 24.30 %

Under 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 50.61% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

Under 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 50.12% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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