FC Astana vs Altay Sunday 26th July 2026 05:00 PM football predictions.

FC Astana Altay

FC Astana W W D L W D

Altay W W L D L D

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Altay	FC Astana	1 - 1	May 27, 2026

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 9, 26	Away	Dinamo Tirana	0 - 1	Win
Jul 3, 26	Home	Zhenys	1 - 0	Win
Jun 28, 26	Away	Zhenys	2 - 2	Draw
Jun 21, 26	Away	Aktobe	2 - 0	Loss
Jun 14, 26	Home	Irtysh	2 - 0	Win
May 27, 26	Away	Altay	1 - 1	Draw

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 11, 26	Away	Zhetysu	0 - 1	Win
Jul 4, 26	Home	FK Tobol Kostanay	1 - 0	Win
Jun 28, 26	Away	FK Tobol Kostanay	3 - 1	Loss
Jun 20, 26	Home	Zhetysu	3 - 3	Draw
Jun 14, 26	Away	Aktobe	2 - 0	Loss
May 27, 26	Home	FC Astana	1 - 1	Draw

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
5	FC Astana	16	7	5	4	22	17	+5	26
15	Altay	16	2	7	7	11	18	-7	13

This prediction suggests that there is a 53.71% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that FC Astana has a 58.1% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 22.35 %

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