FK Tobol Kostanay vs Atyrau Sunday 26th July 2026 03:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

FK Tobol Kostanay Atyrau

FK Tobol Kostanay L W L W D L

Atyrau L L L D D D

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Atyrau	FK Tobol Kostanay	1 - 1	May 28, 2026
Atyrau	FK Tobol Kostanay	1 - 0	September 13, 2025
FK Tobol Kostanay	Atyrau	5 - 0	May 30, 2025
FK Tobol Kostanay	Atyrau	1 - 1	August 31, 2024
Atyrau	FK Tobol Kostanay	0 - 0	June 23, 2024
FK Tobol Kostanay	Atyrau	1 - 0	July 2, 2023

FK Tobol Kostanay Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 4, 26	Away	Altay	1 - 0	Loss
Jun 28, 26	Home	Altay	3 - 1	Win
Jun 21, 26	Away	Okzhetpes	2 - 1	Loss
Jun 13, 26	Home	Kyzyl-Zhar	2 - 0	Win
May 28, 26	Away	Atyrau	1 - 1	Draw
May 23, 26	Home	Ordabasy	0 - 3	Loss

Atyrau Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 5, 26	Home	Kaspiy	1 - 2	Loss
Jun 27, 26	Away	Kaspiy	2 - 0	Loss
Jun 21, 26	Home	Yelimay Semey	1 - 2	Loss
Jun 13, 26	Away	Kairat Almaty	1 - 1	Draw
May 28, 26	Home	FK Tobol Kostanay	1 - 1	Draw
May 23, 26	Away	Zhetysu	0 - 0	Draw

Premier League Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
12	Atyrau	16	2	9	5	11	14	-3	15
14	FK Tobol Kostanay	16	4	3	9	16	24	-8	15

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No

This prediction suggests that there is a 52.22% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

FK Tobol Kostanay to win

This prediction indicates that FK Tobol Kostanay has a 49.22% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.26 %

Under 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 52.78% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

Under 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 56.85% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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