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Iraqi League
Al-Karma logo Al-Karma
Aug. 15, 2026 16 hours from now VS
Mosul logo Mosul

Match Analysis

Al-Karma Mosul
Al-Karma W W D D D W
Mosul W D L D D L
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

The model predicts that Al-Karma will win with a 56% probability. This prediction leans towards a home victory due to the clear quality gap favoring Al-Karma and their strong recent attacking form. Despite both teams showing moderate recent form and having similar rest, the model's confidence in a home win is notable. There are no market odds available for comparison in this match.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Al-Karma Mosul 1 - 1 March 26, 2026
Mosul Al-Karma 1 - 3 January 18, 2026

Al-Karma Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 2, 26 Away Al Kahrabaa 0 - 3 Win
May 27, 26 Home Diyala 1 - 0 Win
May 19, 26 Away Al Talaba 1 - 1 Draw
May 14, 26 Away Naft Maysan 1 - 1 Draw
May 5, 26 Away Naft 0 - 0 Draw
May 1, 26 Away Newroz 0 - 1 Win

Mosul Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 1, 26 Home Al-Qasim 3 - 0 Win
May 27, 26 Away Newroz 1 - 1 Draw
May 20, 26 Away Al Minaa Basra 1 - 0 Loss
May 15, 26 Home Duhok 3 - 3 Draw
May 11, 26 Home Al Talaba 2 - 2 Draw
May 6, 26 Away Al Quwa Al Jawiya 2 - 1 Loss

Iraqi League Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Mosul 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
1 Al-Karma 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 55.63% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Al-Karma to win
This prediction indicates that Al-Karma has a 56.26% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 23.12 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 61.35% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 58.92% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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