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Iraqi League
Zakho logo Zakho
Aug. 15, 2026 12 hours from now VS
Ghaz Al Shamal logo Ghaz Al Shamal

Match Analysis

Zakho Ghaz Al Shamal
Zakho L L D L D L
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

Zakho and Ghaz Al Shamal are both struggling with poor recent form, indicating that neither team has been performing consistently well. Despite this, Zakho holds a modest quality edge over their opponents. The model predicts a home win with a 51% probability and also suggests that both teams are likely to score, with a 52% chance for both teams to find the net. Given the lack of available market odds for comparison, the model's confidence in these outcomes stands on its own assessment of the teams' current quality and form.

Zakho Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 2, 26 Away Al Quwa Al Jawiya 3 - 2 Loss
May 28, 26 Home Erbil 1 - 2 Loss
May 24, 26 Away Al Minaa Basra 2 - 2 Draw
May 20, 26 Away Newroz 2 - 1 Loss
May 16, 26 Home Al Najaf 1 - 1 Draw
May 11, 26 Home Diyala 1 - 2 Loss

Iraqi League Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Ghaz Al Shamal 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
1 Zakho 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Predictions

Zakho to win
This prediction indicates that Zakho has a 51.34% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 23.71 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.75% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.22% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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