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Iraqi League
Diyala logo Diyala
Aug. 15, 2026 13 hours from now VS
Al Talaba logo Al Talaba

Match Analysis

Diyala Al Talaba
Diyala W L L L W D
Al Talaba D D D L D L
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

Historically, matches between Diyala and Al Talaba have often ended in draws, and goals have been scarce in these encounters. The model predicts an away win with a 43% probability, noting that while Al Talaba are considered the stronger side, their recent form has been poor—similar to Diyala's moderate form. The model also sees a 44% chance that neither team will score, aligning with the trend of low-scoring games in their past meetings. Overall, the model is less confident in an away win than typical market odds might suggest, given the mixed form and historical tendency toward tight, low-scoring matches.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Al Talaba Diyala 0 - 1 May 1, 2026
Al Talaba Diyala 1 - 1 January 27, 2026
Al Talaba Diyala 0 - 0 February 14, 2025
Diyala Al Talaba 0 - 1 December 12, 2024

Diyala Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 1, 26 Home Duhok 1 - 0 Win
May 27, 26 Away Al-Karma 1 - 0 Loss
May 19, 26 Home Baghdad 1 - 4 Loss
May 15, 26 Home Al Shorta 0 - 2 Loss
May 11, 26 Away Zakho 1 - 2 Win
May 6, 26 Away Gharraf 0 - 0 Draw

Al Talaba Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 1, 26 Home Al Karkh 1 - 1 Draw
May 28, 26 Away Al Minaa Basra 1 - 1 Draw
May 19, 26 Home Al-Karma 1 - 1 Draw
May 15, 26 Away Al Quwa Al Jawiya 2 - 1 Loss
May 11, 26 Away Mosul 2 - 2 Draw
May 5, 26 Home Al Zawra'a 0 - 1 Loss

Iraqi League Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Al Talaba 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
1 Diyala 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 56.08% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Al Talaba to win
This prediction indicates that Al Talaba has a 43.27% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.54 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 63.87% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 63.02% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Iraqi League

Zakho vs Ghaz Al Shamal 13 hours from now · 6:30 p.m. › Al Zawra'a vs Al Minaa Basra 16 hours from now · 9 p.m. › Al-Karma vs Mosul 16 hours from now · 9 p.m. ›