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Iraqi League
Al Zawra'a logo Al Zawra'a
Aug. 15, 2026 16 hours from now VS
Al Minaa Basra logo Al Minaa Basra

Match Analysis

Al Zawra'a Al Minaa Basra
Al Zawra'a L L L D W W
Al Minaa Basra D D D W D L
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

The model sees a clear quality gap favoring Al Zawra'a, suggesting they should have the upper hand despite their recent struggles. However, Al Minaa Basra's moderate recent form means they are not easy to beat. The prediction leans toward a home win with a 63% probability, noting that recent meetings between these sides have usually been tight and low-scoring. The model also suggests it's unlikely both teams will score, aligning with the historical trend of few goals in their past encounters.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Al Minaa Basra Al Zawra'a 0 - 2 May 10, 2026
Al Zawra'a Al Minaa Basra 2 - 0 December 28, 2025
Al Zawra'a Al Minaa Basra 2 - 1 June 25, 2025
Al Minaa Basra Al Zawra'a 1 - 0 October 29, 2024
Al Zawra'a Al Minaa Basra 1 - 0 May 31, 2024
Al Minaa Basra Al Zawra'a 1 - 3 March 9, 2024

Al Zawra'a Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 1, 26 Away Al Najaf 1 - 0 Loss
May 27, 26 Home Naft 0 - 1 Loss
May 20, 26 Away Al Quwa Al Jawiya 2 - 1 Loss
May 14, 26 Home Al-Qasim 1 - 1 Draw
May 10, 26 Away Al Minaa Basra 0 - 2 Win
May 5, 26 Away Al Talaba 0 - 1 Win

Al Minaa Basra Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 2, 26 Away Al Shorta 0 - 0 Draw
May 28, 26 Home Al Talaba 1 - 1 Draw
May 24, 26 Home Zakho 2 - 2 Draw
May 20, 26 Home Mosul 1 - 0 Win
May 14, 26 Away Naft 1 - 1 Draw
May 10, 26 Home Al Zawra'a 0 - 2 Loss

Iraqi League Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Al Minaa Basra 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
1 Al Zawra'a 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 58.3% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Al Zawra'a to win
This prediction indicates that Al Zawra'a has a 62.87% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 19.82 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.8% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.3% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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