Aldershot Town vs Carlisle Saturday 03rd October 2026 05:00 PM football predictions.

National League

Aldershot Town

Oct. 3, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Carlisle

Match Analysis

Aldershot Town Carlisle

Aldershot Town D W W D W D

Carlisle D D L W D W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Aldershot Town	Carlisle	0 - 2	March 10, 2026
Carlisle	Aldershot Town	2 - 0	September 13, 2025
Aldershot Town	Carlisle	2 - 0	August 30, 2011

Aldershot Town Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 15, 26	Home	Yeovil Town	1 - 1	Draw
Sep 12, 26	Away	Solihull Moors	1 - 2	Win
Sep 5, 26	Home	FC Halifax Town	1 - 0	Win
Aug 31, 26	Away	Eastleigh	1 - 1	Draw
Aug 28, 26	Home	Harrogate Town	3 - 1	Win
Aug 22, 26	Away	Kidderminster Harriers	1 - 1	Draw

Carlisle Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 15, 26	Home	Forest Green	1 - 1	Draw
Sep 12, 26	Home	Southend	2 - 2	Draw
Sep 5, 26	Away	Boreham Wood	2 - 1	Loss
Aug 31, 26	Home	Scunthorpe	4 - 2	Win
Aug 28, 26	Away	Wealdstone	1 - 1	Draw
Aug 22, 26	Home	AFC Hornchurch	4 - 1	Win

National League Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
6	Aldershot Town	8	4	3	1	10	6	+4	15
15	Carlisle	8	2	4	2	16	13	+3	10

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 59.38% likelihood that both Aldershot Town and Carlisle will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Aldershot Town or Carlisle to win

This prediction indicates that Aldershot Town has a 38.18% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 24.92 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 59.69% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 58.04% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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National League

Match Analysis

Head to Head History

Aldershot Town Form (Last 6 Matches)

Carlisle Form (Last 6 Matches)

National League Table

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

Aldershot Town or Carlisle to win

Over 1.5 goals

Over 2.5 goals

Most Likely Scorelines

Comments

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