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National League
Hartlepool logo Hartlepool
Sept. 19, 2026 2 weeks from now VS
Worthing logo Worthing

Match Analysis

Hartlepool Worthing
Hartlepool L L L W W W
Worthing L L W L W W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Hartlepool Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Sep 1, 26 Away FC Halifax Town 1 - 0 Loss
Aug 28, 26 Home Eastleigh 0 - 1 Loss
Aug 22, 26 Away Sutton Utd 2 - 1 Loss
Aug 15, 26 Away Aldershot Town 0 - 1 Win
Aug 8, 26 Home Barrow 2 - 0 Win
Aug 1, 26 Home Fleetwood Town 1 - 0 Win

Worthing Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 31, 26 Home Boreham Wood 2 - 3 Loss
Aug 28, 26 Away Tamworth 3 - 2 Loss
Aug 22, 26 Home Wealdstone 1 - 0 Win
Aug 15, 26 Home Forest Green 1 - 2 Loss
Aug 8, 26 Away Carlisle 2 - 3 Win
Aug 1, 26 Home Horsham 3 - 0 Win

National League Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
14 Hartlepool 5 2 0 3 4 4 0 6
15 Worthing 5 2 0 3 9 10 -1 6

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.63% likelihood that both Hartlepool and Worthing will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
Hartlepool or Worthing to win
This prediction indicates that Hartlepool has a 39.5% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 26.27 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.09% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.13% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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National League

Wealdstone vs Kidderminster Harriers 11 hours from now · 5 p.m. › AFC Hornchurch vs Forest Green 11 hours from now · 5 p.m. › Boreham Wood vs Carlisle 14 hours from now · 7:30 p.m. › Tamworth vs Boston United 11 hours from now · 5 p.m. › Gateshead vs Solihull Moors 11 hours from now · 5 p.m. › Southend vs Yeovil Town 9 hours from now · 2:30 p.m. › Aldershot Town vs FC Halifax Town 9 hours from now · 2:30 p.m. › Hartlepool vs Woking 11 hours from now · 5 p.m. › Scunthorpe vs Harrogate Town 11 hours from now · 5 p.m. › Barrow vs Sutton Utd 11 hours from now · 5 p.m. › AFC Fylde vs Worthing 11 hours from now · 5 p.m. ›