Eastleigh vs Carlisle Saturday 19th September 2026 05:00 PM football predictions.

National League

Eastleigh

Sept. 19, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Carlisle

Match Analysis

Eastleigh Carlisle

Eastleigh L D W W L W

Carlisle W D W D L W

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Eastleigh	Carlisle	1 - 2	February 28, 2026
Carlisle	Eastleigh	1 - 1	November 15, 2025

Eastleigh Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 4, 26	Away	Altrincham	2 - 1	Loss
Aug 31, 26	Home	Aldershot Town	1 - 1	Draw
Aug 28, 26	Away	Hartlepool	0 - 1	Win
Aug 22, 26	Home	Scunthorpe	3 - 2	Win
Aug 15, 26	Away	Kidderminster Harriers	1 - 0	Loss
Aug 8, 26	Home	Gateshead	2 - 1	Win

Carlisle Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 31, 26	Home	Scunthorpe	4 - 2	Win
Aug 28, 26	Away	Wealdstone	1 - 1	Draw
Aug 22, 26	Home	AFC Hornchurch	4 - 1	Win
Aug 15, 26	Away	Yeovil Town	1 - 1	Draw
Aug 8, 26	Home	Worthing	2 - 3	Loss
Aug 1, 26	Away	Derby County U21	0 - 3	Win

National League Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
8	Eastleigh	5	3	1	1	7	5	+2	10
9	Carlisle	5	2	2	1	12	8	+4	8

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.95% likelihood that both Eastleigh and Carlisle will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Carlisle to win

This prediction indicates that Carlisle has a 48.48% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 22.87 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 60.82% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.48% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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National League

Match Analysis

Head to Head History

Eastleigh Form (Last 6 Matches)

Carlisle Form (Last 6 Matches)

National League Table

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

Carlisle to win

Over 1.5 goals

Over 2.5 goals

Most Likely Scorelines

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