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National League

Sept. 19, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

Tamworth Wealdstone
Tamworth L W L L D W
Wealdstone W D L L D W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Wealdstone Tamworth 3 - 2 March 10, 2026
Tamworth Wealdstone 1 - 1 September 24, 2025
Tamworth Wealdstone 4 - 1 March 4, 2025
Wealdstone Tamworth 0 - 1 February 4, 2025

Tamworth Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 31, 26 Away Yeovil Town 3 - 2 Loss
Aug 28, 26 Home Worthing 3 - 2 Win
Aug 22, 26 Away FC Halifax Town 4 - 1 Loss
Aug 15, 26 Home AFC Fylde 1 - 2 Loss
Aug 8, 26 Away Boreham Wood 3 - 3 Draw
Aug 1, 26 Away AFC Telford United 1 - 3 Win

Wealdstone Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 31, 26 Away Sutton Utd 0 - 2 Win
Aug 28, 26 Home Carlisle 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 22, 26 Away Worthing 1 - 0 Loss
Aug 15, 26 Home Harrogate Town 1 - 3 Loss
Aug 8, 26 Away AFC Fylde 2 - 2 Draw
Aug 1, 26 Away Slough Town 0 - 2 Win

National League Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
18 Wealdstone 5 1 2 2 6 7 -1 5
20 Tamworth 5 1 1 3 10 14 -4 4

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 59.38% likelihood that both Tamworth and Wealdstone will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
Tamworth or Wealdstone to win
This prediction indicates that Tamworth has a 40.27% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.44 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 59.52% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.23% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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